After Oprah leaves, daytime TV may never be the same again

The short answer is no, daytime TV will not be the same without Oprah. The reason is because she filled a void in the lives of so many people. People fell in love, out of love and now back in love with her through the years. I am not sure any of the people mentioned will have her broad base appeal. But we shall see....

Oprah Winfrey, the monarch of daytime television, tapes her final episode this month. For 25 years, Winfrey, avatar of the national psyche and high priestess of the self-empowerment movement, has ruled the daytime airwaves by inviting celebrities and statesmen to her couch for friendly tête-à-têtes watched by millions of loyal followers.

Already, members of TV's royalty are plotting to seize Winfrey's crown. Katie Couric is marshaling an insurgency. Anderson Cooper has staked a beachhead. Judith Sheindlin — a.k.a. "Judge Judy" — has built her own fortress with more than 6 million daily viewers. Ellen DeGeneres is carving out her niche as the queen of nice.

There's even an opening for a new jester of daytime as Regis Philbin — who has logged more hours in front of the camera than any player in the realm and turns 80 in August — exits "Live With Regis and Kelly."

It could be years before any of the claimants emerge as Winfrey's rightful heir — if at all. Daytime television may never again give birth to an über-personality like Winfrey. With hundreds of cable channels and thousands of Internet sites vying for people's time, it is becoming ever harder for an individual to command a common audience of shared interests and empathy.

"It's going to be very difficult, if not impossible, for someone to be as dominant as Oprah has been," said Bill Carroll, director of programming for Katz Media. "When she came on the air, most cities had only two or three TV stations and cable penetration was relatively low. Many channels didn't exist."

The turnover comes as soap operas — once the chief form of escapism from the tedium of household chores for countless women — are nearly washed up.

When ABC's "All My Children" and "One Life to Live" end their runs next season, only four network soaps will remain on the air, compared with nearly a dozen a decade ago. At its peak in 1981, more than 14 million people watched "General Hospital" on ABC. Now, fewer than 3 million tune in daily.

Societal and demographic changes are at the heart of daytime TV's upheaval.

"There is a transition going on in daytime television, and it is a generational change," said Ken Werner, president of Warner Bros. domestic television distribution.

A wave of women flooding the workforce has been accompanied by a rise in the popularity of shows featuring women in charge of their lives — and influencing others.

Staple soap opera themes of women in jeopardy or navigating relationships has given way to role models such as Winfrey power brokering presidential candidates on her show, upscale female professionals crossing swords on "The View," and litigants submitting to justice dispensed by a stern 68-year-old school-marm-in-a-lace-collar on "Judge Judy."

"Women no longer feel that they need to have an escape in their daytime television," said Brian Frons, president of daytime programming for the Disney ABC Television Group. "They are looking for information so they can take an active role in changing their lives. It's a huge difference from what we've seen before."

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